人民卫生出版社系列期刊
ISSN 2096-2738 CN 11-9370/R

中国科技核心期刊(中国科技论文统计源期刊)
2020《中国学术期刊影响因子年报》统计源期刊

新发传染病电子杂志 ›› 2018, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (4): 218-220.

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

深圳市龙岗区性病疫情趋势Joinpoint回归分析

常树霞1, 温意琼1, 李伟雄1, 蔡于茂2   

  1. 1.深圳市龙岗区慢性病防治院,广东 深圳 518023;
    2.深圳市慢性病防治中心,广东,深圳 518020
  • 收稿日期:2018-10-10 出版日期:2018-11-30 发布日期:2020-07-09
  • 通讯作者: 蔡于茂,Email:64165469@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    1.深圳市“医疗卫生三名工程 ”项目(SZSM201611077); 2.深圳市科技计划项目(201203114)

Joinpoint regression analysis on trend of sexually transmitted diseases in Longgang district, Shenzhen

CHANG Shu-xia1, WEN Yi-qiong1, LI Wei-xiong1, CAI Yu-mao2   

  1. 1. Longgang District Chronic Diseases Control Hospital, Shenzhen 518023, China;
    2. Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Guangdong Shenzhen 518020, China
  • Received:2018-10-10 Online:2018-11-30 Published:2020-07-09

摘要: 目的 了解深圳市龙岗区性病疫情流行趋势,为制订预防控制策略提供科学参考依据。方法 采用Joinpoint Regression Program软件,对深圳市龙岗区2008–2017年性病疫情报告资料进行统计分析,计算年度变化百分比(annual percent change,APC)并进行趋势检验,结果 2008–2010年龙岗区性病发病率以每年15.0%的平均速率下降,至2010年达到最低点;2010–2013年以每年10.0%的平均速率上升,2013–2017年以每年1.0%的平均速率下降,但变化均不明显。2008–2017年淋病APC为3.0%,梅毒APC为5.6%,尖锐湿疣APC为-3.6%,生殖器疱疹APC为-12.2%,生殖道沙眼衣原体感染APC为1.3%。2008–2017年龙岗区报告性病病例中,以衣原体感染所占构成最高,其次为梅毒、淋病、尖锐湿疣、生殖器疱疹;以20~29岁年龄组最多,其次是30~39岁年龄组,≥50岁年龄组人群性病报告构成比逐年上升。结论 深圳市龙岗区性病疫情整体稳定,需根据自身特点制定有针对性的防治对策。

关键词: 性病, 年度变化百分比, 趋势检验

Abstract: Objective To understand the epidemic trends of sexually transmitted diseases(STDs) in Longgang District of Shenzhen, and provide scientific reference for control and prevention policy by the government. Methods The trends of STDs from 2008 to 2017 in Longgang district and annual percent changes were analyzed by joinpoint regression program.Results The incidence of STDs in Longgang district decreased with an APC of 15.0% from 2008 to 2010 and reached the lowest point in 2010. The incidence of STDs in Longgang district increased with an APC of 10.0% from 2010 to 2013 and then declined with an APC of 1.0% from 2013 to 2017 but either is significant. From 2008 to 2017, the APC of gonorrhea was 3.0%, syphilis was 5.6%, condyloma acuminatum was -3.6%, genital herpes was -12.2%, and chlamydia trachomatis was 1.3%. The proportion of chlamydia trachomatis was the highest, others were syphilis, gonorrhea, condyloma acuminate and genital herpes in Longgang district from 2008 to 2017. The proportion of STDs cases aged between 20 and 29 years was the highest and then followed by 30-39 years group. The proportion of STDs cases aged more than 50 years increased year by year. Conclusion STDs incidence was stable in Longgang district. Control and prevention strategy targeted STDs should be developed and implemented according to own characteristics.

Key words: Sexually transmitted diseases, Annual percent change(APC), Trend test